It might be optimistic- hard to tell. On a 2.5k road trip I checked the gas mileage over the entire trip on the highway. My measurements came in at 24.9 mpg. Computer showed 25.6. So in my case, not 10%, but a bit optimistic. Now bear in mind, my measurements are limited to the number of refills and subject to various gas stations, pumps, fuel temperature, vapor pressure, etc. Theoretically, the computer should be pretty much dead on if it's tracking all the right variables of injector pulse-width, fuel pressure and temperature, and distance. But once again, changes in those items could alter it.
YMMV!